|The smoke column extending upward from the Noble fire around 2:30 pm CDT.|
This fire wasn't just one of those single acre type grass fires that we see on roadsides though it certainly started small. No, the potential of this fire to go out of control and consume thousands of acres was real. We were already in an exceptional long period drought and the Oklahoma Mesonet Fire danger model was showing very high values throughout eastern Cleveland county up to the edge of the Cross-Timber woods. Groves of dense Eastern Red Cedar mixed with completely dormant grass fields combined to make a volatile combination.
|The Oklahoma Fire Danger Model explained here. The arrow points to the Noble fire location. Notice the sharp gradient to lower values (more containable fires) in eastern Cleveland County within the Cross Timbers.|
|The SPC day 1 fire outlook. Central Oklahoma's on the edge of a critical risk.|
The fire danger was certainly high but not unprecedented in Oklahoma. During the winter time we'll frequently see these conditions appear and we'll get rapidly moving fires. But what set these summer conditions apart from the winter was the huge depth of the nearly dry adiabatic lapse rates, on this day, almost 3 km.
|The 00 UTC Norman sounding shortly after the fire was put out.|
These conditions we had were typically found in the western mountains where the airmass was of classic desert continental tropical origin, sometimes advected eastward driven by strong synoptic forcing into the Plains States following the dryline. But now they were prevalent all throughout the southern Plains as we've become the new source of the continental tropical airmass through months of uninterrupted baking of the ground. Time was the only factor needed for the continuous baking to cure huge swaths of vegetation into a combustable fuel which now included even parts of the Cross-Timbers.
Could fire tornadoes or even a firestorm have developed?
Anybody unfortunate to be ahead of a big fire would be justified in calling out that they experienced a firestorm. However I hear amongst fire specialists that they refer to a firestorm to describe a certain extreme behavior. That is a firestorm generates a velocity structure that helps it to intensify in a positive feedback loop. Enhanced inflow at low-levels feeds the fire Oxygen from ahead and the lateral flanks. Vortices forming along the flanks also help to concentrate the heat at the head (downwind) end of the fire. The updraft plume is typically deep and separated from the ground in a single column consisting of short-period pulses. This updraft structure is effective at not just generating the internal fire-induced circulations but also launching embers in typically erratic directions but often well ahead of the fire. These types of fires are said to be plume dominated as opposed to the wind-dominated fires that we see in central Oklahoma during a pre-dryline strong south wind events of the cool season. Wind dominated updraft plumes tend to hug the ground.
The picture below shows the type of fire plume so reminiscent of an incipient firestorm we've heard and seen further west. It erupted immediately off the ground in an updraft column that was roughly uninterrupted until it reached its LCL at nearly 3 km AGL as shown by the sounding above. Fire induced updrafts often contain a bit more water vapor than implied by the sounding due to the combusted fuels and so the LCL may have been a bit lower. Nevertheless, this 300 acre fire was capable of producing an upright updraft 3 km deep. The video above even shows some anticylonic vorticity within the west side of the broad updraft as it interacted with the environmental shear just above ground. I wouldn't be surprised if this fire modified the low-level flow creating a calm wake to the north and accelerated flow around the west and east flanks creating a low-level broad vortex pair as it was tilted by the updraft in a similar way to one mechanism by which a supercell forms.
|A vertical fire induced updraft with pyrocumulus at the top.|
A little more intensity of the fire and we may have had significant fire vortices erupt out of the flanks of the fire to propagate downwind. I may exaggerate but compare the pictures and video above and the time lapse by John Hart with the fire vortex simulations available on the Visualization and Enabling Technologies webpage of NCAR. I chose one to highlight below that shows a fire with surface wind vectors, three-dimensional heating and vorticity. The similarities are pretty striking.
These vortices would be large, not the small ones sometimes visible within small flames. For an example, see the fire induced vortex from a forest fire in eastern Colorado here. The main fire updraft plume is to the left of the vortex. However the vortex connects with the main plume aloft. A very dynamically similar analog occurs with heated water induced updraft plume around the entry point of lava into the Pacific Ocean in the big island of Hawaii. There are multiple videos online showing this such as here, here, and here. Perhaps the intensity of the Noble fire is far short of that of the lava-induced plumes or the great fires out west but both heat sources had erect plumes separating from the ground.
Were there other plume-driven fires during this outbreak that could've been better candidates to produce a firestorm with large fire vortices? As it turned out, there was one candidate to the southwest of us in the Wichita Mountains. The Meers, OK fire as it was called, started about the same time as the Noble fire and both plumes can be seen in the GOES-E visible imagery at 1930 UTC. The Noble fire was at its peak and the Meers fire was just getting started perhaps both having burned similar areas.
|The GOES-E visible imagery at 1930 UTC captured from the NCAR RAP website showing two fire-induced smoke plumes, one near Noble (upper right arrow) and another near Meers, OK (lower left arrow).|
While the Noble fire was aggressively suppressed, the remote rough terrain around the Meers, OK fire possibly inhibited access by firefighters and the so the fire grew. By 2302 UTC, the GOES visible imagery showed a classic wedge-shaped anvil with a singular strong updraft plume anchored on the south side. There was even a hint of an overshooting top. The size of this fire surely put the Noble fire to shame and yet the Noble fire also exhibited a similarly shaped smoke plume suggesting a plume-driven fire. Even more striking was the obvious anvil-layer divergence signature at the top of the fire.
|The GOES-E visible image from 2302 UTC showing the anvil and intense updraft plume from the Meers, OK fire. Two other fires to the south in TX exhibited much weaker updraft behavior.|
|The KTLX 2250 UTC 0.5 deg scan of the Meers, OK fire. On the left is the reflectivity and the right, radial base velocity. The green and red arrows highlights where you can see the anvil-layer divergence over the top of the smoke plume.|
The Meers, OK fire grew to over 20,000 acres as opposed to the 380 acre spread of the Noble fire as reported by news9.com. At any one time the Meers, OK fire was likely much more intense too. The radar data from the Noble fire did not indicate this kind of diverging anvil and its updraft was much weaker. So if the Noble fire plume exhibited signs of a vortex pair, I would expect that the Meers, OK fire was much more capable of producing intense vortices. However no radar could adequately sample the lower levels of the plume where the vortices would most likely reside.
Fire intensity and Cedars.
How did the ground conditions affect the fire northeast of the Noble Highschool? An overhead view of the area near the fire initiation pretty much shows patches of dense Eastern Red Cedars. These trees were so close together that their crowns were touching. Considering how dry we've been, the fuel moisture level must've been incredibly low in these trees. But these trees can become torches even without such dry conditions. I also saw numerous trees whether or not they were burned, that showed branches right down next to the ground. The stage was set where a ground fire (as it started considering that a ditch digger started the fire) could easily have spread into the crowns of the trees. The video above and from real-time media clearly showed numerous crown fires. I'm not sure if these crown fires started to spread independently of the ground fire based on what the video above showed. Considering the sporadic crown eruptions, I suspect the crowns torching in lockstep with the advance of ground fire and not spreading on its own. Nevertheless, where crown fires existed, the fires were intense and everything quickly burned as the picture below so eloquently shows.
I might add that in addition to the crown fires suggestive of a front, I could see that there were numerous spot fires ahead of the main fire also sending up their own plumes. A prominent one showed up on the pictures above. The nature of this plume-dominated fire probably contributed to producing these spot fires.
|A Google Earth overhead view of the Noble Fire initiation area (represented by the red swath). The inset shows a red arrow where the picture below was taken.|
|A picture of intense burning in Eastern Red Cedars to the east of Noble Highschool. One of the Cedar trunks showed active flames within a hollow (at center).|
Finally, I'm amazed at how fast this fire was quickly brought under control considering the hostile conditions. There were two firefighters that suffered some burns, and another with a shoulder separation. In addition, the blackhawk helicopter crew faced a hostile male when they lowered the bucket into a nearby pond.
|A Blackhawk firefighting helicopter lifting another bucket of water from a pond to dump on the remains of the Noble fire.|
References to read:
Fire whirls and vortices simulation
COMET's extreme fire behavior course
this is part of a larger course on fire weather forecasting.
Oklahoma Fire Danger Model
WIldland Fire Assessment System